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By dividing these numbers, you get a 0.576 value. 0.987 x 0.76 x 1,279 = 0.727. The Best Correct Score Prediction Formula. How are percentages distributed from these numbers? The correct score prediction formula is as follows. e : A constant equal to approximately 2.71828. ( e is the base of the natural logarithm system.) μ: The league's total attack strength. x : Both teams' total attack strength for home and away games, respectively. P( x ; μ): The Poisson probability that exactly x goals were scored when the mean number of goals is μ.
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