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On the one hand, the tax reform/tax cuts of 2018 and the expansionary federal budgets for 2018 and 2019 boosted US growth while, on the other hand, US trade policies negatively affected global trade. As the EA has a comparatively larger manufacturing base and its growth is more dependent on the external sector, the negative spillovers have been larger. In fact, as GDP per-capita and productivity are lower than the US there is still significant room for further catch-up. Moreover, the EA has some elements of strength (lower inequalities, strong competition laws, a competitive edge in rapidly expanding green productions) that, if properly leveraged, can provide a boost to its growth potential. Dealing with recessions in the euro area. In 2018, after three years of solid growth, the EA and US economies started to diverge again. The divergence widened in 2019, when economic activity slowed in both economies, but, according to available data and economic forecasts, per-capita growth has been close to 2% in the US but below 1% in the EA. A large fiscal stimulus (the combination of the Tax Cut and Job Act and the Bipartisan Budget Agreement resulted in an estimated increase in the budget deficit of about 1.4% of GDP in 2018 and. Our analysis suggests that, in normal times, the euro area economy grows in per-capita terms at a pace as fast as that of the United States. However, there are two reasons for which the euro area economy could grow even faster than the US. Firstly, using the US economy as a benchmark implicitly assumes that US economic policies are close to optimal, which has clearly not been the case in the last 20 years.

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